Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 5.920419 6.751430 7.667801 8.755014 10.012012 11.422316 13.128273
2025-06-01 4.692726 5.743956 6.995239 8.600770 10.615262 13.071017 16.309493
2025-06-08 3.923999 5.054830 6.477638 8.411341 10.989500 14.334432 19.044901
2025-06-15 3.583273 4.816428 6.441601 8.760120 12.015221 16.470396 23.112064
2025-06-22 3.237054 4.509955 6.254656 8.848866 12.656349 18.114541 26.666720
2025-06-29 2.915436 4.190809 5.999908 8.789631 13.048222 19.410394 29.834961
2025-07-06 2.636975 3.898011 5.742690 8.682322 13.332768 20.547276 32.864911
2025-07-13 2.498224 3.793856 5.746414 8.959022 14.221752 22.694479 37.761787
2025-07-20 2.358942 3.672294 5.706638 9.154451 14.989062 24.714399 42.686522
2025-07-27 2.266265 3.612982 5.754821 9.490270 16.014389 27.264075 48.852912
2025-08-03 2.076777 3.378852 5.497018 9.283249 16.078808 28.146395 52.080541
2025-08-10 1.924663 3.192802 5.300917 9.159495 16.269702 29.261664 55.870850
2025-08-17 1.788191 3.023976 5.122874 9.056210 16.497416 30.489320 60.091105
2025-08-24 1.656396 2.852268 4.924938 8.896835 16.601406 31.490378 63.986343
2025-08-31 1.532481 2.684143 4.718601 8.700372 16.609520 32.297112 67.571433
2025-09-07 1.500223 2.677937 4.803198 9.062238 17.751109 35.500182 76.784113
2025-09-14 1.433405 2.602420 4.752628 9.154320 18.353387 37.653078 83.950868
2025-09-21 1.352652 2.494316 4.631379 9.092858 18.627328 39.133138 89.762749
2025-09-28 1.272733 2.381707 4.492337 8.981519 18.781399 40.364018 95.148639
2025-10-05 1.244414 2.366941 4.543086 9.268622 19.832403 43.724430 106.292992
2025-10-12 1.208284 2.333816 4.554132 9.471416 20.715266 46.800208 117.190094
2025-10-19 1.188848 2.332597 4.629417 9.819923 21.968187 50.901935 131.449369
2025-10-26 1.115811 2.216476 4.458018 9.605075 21.876047 51.719425 136.892463